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Uma Nota Sobre Efeitos de Gastos Públicos Federais Sobre o Crescimento da Economia Brasileira

The article has the goal to analyze the effects of the government expenses about the product of the Brazilian economy along the period from 1980 to 2005, identifying the contribution of some categories of public expenses about the growth of the product in Brazil. For that, the components of public federal expenses time series were investigated, in particular, in both ways by group and function. The methodological procedures were based on tests Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips and Perron, Granger Causality test, Engle and Granger Cointegration and Johansen Cointegration method. The results of unit root tests showed that the series studied of product and public expenses are I(1). Most pairs of variables showed Granger causality flowing from the components of the public expenses to the product. The exceptions stayed due to the expenses with defense and national safety and education. In the same way, these kinds of expenses did not show statistically significant in the estimation. However, communication, health and basic sanitation , energy and mineral resources and transport were the categories of public expenses that showed empiric relevance in the composition of the public expenses. The evidences showed that these expenses can be considered as productive expenses. For a given quantity of private, best factors highways, harbors, railroads, communication, health and basic sanitation imply a larger productivity of these factors and increasing the final product.


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